Dave’s Picks
Main Card
Jose Aldo vs. Frankie Edgar: Wow…wow…I
cannot wait for this fight. This is as close as a champion vs. champion matchup
can get. It’s no UFC 94 but its close. I believe the fights Frankie had with
Benson Henderson are very telling. Benson is slightly faster and stronger than
Frankie and that helped Henderson to “win” those fights. Even if you think
Frankie won you have to admit he struggled quite a bit. Aldo is faster and maybe
even stronger (in my opinion) than Henderson. The speed advantage will be a big
deal in this fight. If Aldo can land first and harm Frankie’s semi-weak chin
then it will be lights out. The only hope Frankie has to win, and it is a definitely
possibility, is to outwrestle Aldo for 5 rounds. But can Frankie do that
without being finished and can he repeatedly take Aldo down throughout the
fight? I don’t know if he can. This fight interests me more than almost any
fight in a long time. I just think Aldo is too much for Frankie. = Aldo by
unanimous decision. My Pick for Fight of the Night!
Rashad Evans vs. Antonio Rogerio
Nogueira: I love the Nog boys but this will be a beatdown. Rashad, minus his
fight with Jones, has really perfected his craft. His MMA wrestling is top
notch and will be way too much for Nog to handle. Rashad’s ground and pound
might actually be strong enough to finish Nog by TKO but Nog’s chin is
extremely good. I see Rashad smothering Nog with takedowns and top control until
the final bell rings. = Rashad by unanimous decision.
Alistair Overeem vs. Antonio Silva: Oh
boy. This will get ugly. Bigfoot is a great fighter but he is the perfect
opponent for Overeem to destroy. He is nowhere near the level of striking that
Overeem has achieved and his chin is degrading. I see Bigfoot coming out and
trying to get the clinch up against the fence but Alistair having none of it
and landing bombs so hard that people will look away. = Overeem by KO in round 1. My
Pick for KO of the Night!
Jon Fitch vs. Demian Maia: Another
great and interesting matchup. I would normally pick Fitch without too much
thought but his fight with Erick Silva scares me. Yes that fight was awesome
and he won but Silva had Fitch’s back and had a RNC sunk. If that happens in
this fight, Maia will choke him out so fast he won’t even have a chance to tap.
So, Fitch will have to fight with a much tighter ground game then he has in his
last few fights. Maia has also looked like a fiery beast since dropping to 170
and looks to be easily handling top 10 guys. This fight is by far the hardest
to pick but I am going to go with the safer pick. = Fitch by unanimous
decision.
Joseph Benavidez vs. Ian McCall: Another
great and important fight, such a great card. Sadly fan favorite McCall will
lose again in the UFC. I was extremely shocked at Benavidez’s performance
against Demetrious Johnson. I thought Benavidez was going to kill Johnson and
be Flyweight Champion for a very long time. But I still think he may be the
best flyweight alive. This fight will be another speedy technical battle but I
think Benavidez just had the greater skill set and will smother McCall for the
victory. = Benavidez by unanimous decision.
Prelims
Evan Dunham vs. Gleison Tibau: This
fight is hard to pick as well but Evan struggles against stronger guys. I am
not sure if Evan has what it takes to stop Tibau’s takedowns and get back up
once he is taken down. In my mind I see Tibau bullying Evan throughout the
fight and getting an ugly win. = Tibua by split decision.
Tyron Woodley vs. Jay Hieron: Another
difficult fight to predict. I believe Woodley is the better wrestler but Hieron’s
style has proven to be hard for wrestler’s to handle. I want to go with Woodley
but Hieron just finds ways to win. I am not sure what the safer pick is but I’m
going to go with the better wrestler. = Woodley by split decision.
Yves Edwards vs. Isaac Vallie-Flagg:
I want go with Isaac but Edwards looked so good in his last fight. I think Yves
is just too fast and will be able to use his superior footwork and skill set to
take a close one. = Edwards by unanimous decision.
Jacob Volkmann vs. Bobby Green: Green
is an underrated fighter with great skills but Volkmann is the perfect fighter
to be able to beat him. Volkmann will be able to outwrestle Green and just
blanket him. Volkmann could get a finish but Green will probably last. =
Volkmann by unanimous decision.
Edwin Figueroa vs. Francisco Rivera
= Rivera by 2nd round TKO.
Chico Camus vs. Dustin Kimura =
Camus by unanimous decision.
Sam’s Picks
Main Card
Jose Aldo vs. Frankie Edgar: I can’t
even remember the last time that the UFC had a super fight. This has been such
a long awaited matchup ever since the UFC brought over the lower weight
divisions. They are both going to be hardest test for each other, but what does
that mean for Frankie, who is riding a two fight losing streak? Those two
losses were so close and so debatable that a lot of people don’t even really
view them as a full on undisputed losses. Aldo on the other hand, has only lost
once and it was earlier in his career is too Luciano Azevedo. Aldo does
arguably have the better power than Gray Maynard, but it's in his kicks and
knees. Frankie’s best bet is to try and grind Aldo down, similar to what
Florian did against Aldo in the first round. When striking. Edgar needs to be
very in and out, really working the body and surprising him with a headshot. But
Aldo won’t let him do that, at least not for a majority of the fight. Aldo will
nearly finish him on a few occasions, but Frankie’s heart will push through.
Aldo will win the first three rounds, and Frankie will win the championship rounds
= Aldo via unanimous decision (48-47). My 1st pick for FOTN!
Rashad Evans vs. Antonio Rogerio
Nogueira: Though both of these guys are top-10 light heavyweights, this is a
bit of a mismatch. Phil Davis absolutely dominated Nogueira on the ground.
Rashad Evans dominated Phil Davis on the ground. Nogueira’s only hope is to
throw something up from his back or hope to out-technique him in the boxing =
Evans via unanimous decision.
Alistair Overeem vs. Antonio Silva:
This fight is similar to the co-main event: both top guys, complete mismatch.
Silva is coming off of a very impressive first round KO over Travis Browne,
which was a big surprise to many, even people picking Silva to win. Overeem,
though, is on a whole other planet when it comes to striking ability. His power
and technique is unmatched by most and Silva has shown a skeptical chin.
Overeem will finish this fight with ease = Overeem via 1st round KO.
My pick for KOOTN!
Jon Fitch vs. Demian Maia: I
absolutely love this fight. Ever since Maia made the decision to drop down to
welterweight, he has looked amazing. His submission and takedown offense is
even more prominent than during his good days in his middleweight run.
Fitch is coming off of his fight of the night with Erick Silva, which was an
incredible back-and-forth fight. There was one point where Fitch showed off his
unchokable-ness. Silva had his back and with a rear naked choke sunk in, Fitch
somehow never went unconscious. If Maia had that position with the choked
locked in the way Silva did, Fitch would have been done. But Silva only
received that back position due to his intense aggressiveness, something that
Maia does not have. Maia does have the ability to submit anyone, but Fitch will
grind him out while Maia throws up a lot of submission attempts. It will be
close = Fitch via split decision.
Joseph Benavidez vs. Ian McCall: Now
this is the way that you start a PPV. With both guys coming off of close
decision losses to the champion, Demetrious Johnson, a title shot is very well
on the line. With Benavidez’ only losses to present day champions, you must
question how he does under such pressure. McCall is a guy who does well under
the spotlight; he is very charismatic and does well in big-name fights, despite
his loss to Johnson in a main event. They are equally skilled grapplers with
very even striking. Who will be faster? It’s very hard to say but I would have to
go with McCall; he’s been the flyweight for longer therefore he is more
adapted to the weight cut. Easier weight cut equals better cardio and speed.
McCall seems to have the upper hand in a lot of areas, but Benavidez is just
too difficult to bet against = Benavidez via unanimous decision. My 2nd
pick for FOTN!
Prelims
Evan Dunham vs. Gleison Tibau: With
both fighters looking rather mediocre as of late, it’s hard to decide who I
want to go with. Tibau will most likely be the stronger fighter, an advantage he
almost always holds. Dunham will have the speed and ground advantage. Though
Tibau does have a fantastic ground game, Dunham has shown more offense with his
grappling, something I believe will lead him to victory = Dunham via split
decision.
Tyron Woodley vs. Jay Hieron: Back
in October of 2011, Jay Hieron was stolen out of a victory over present day
Bellator welterweight champ in Ben Askren. Though it was a close fight, Hieron
seemed to be the victor. Woodley is a very similar fighter to that of Ben Askren.
If Hieron is to use a similar gameplan that he used against Askren, he could
very well win. But I just simply can’t bet against a wrestler = Woodley via
unanimous decision.
Yves Edwards vs. Isaac Vallie-Flagg:
Both guys have looked fantastic lately, with Edwards’ KO over Jeremy Stephens
and Isaac’s barnburner upset over JZ Cavalcante. Edwards will undoubtedly have
the upper hand in the experience category, Vallie-Flagg is the one fighter
entering into his prime and with Greg Jackson in his corner, he will most
likely have a great gameplan. These guys are very evenly matched, but I see
Isaac narrowly pulling this one out for the upset once again = Vallie-Flagg via
split decision. My 3rd pick for FOTN!
Jacob Volkmann vs. Bobby Green: I
see this fight going one of two ways: Volkmann gets him down and submits him
early, similar to what he did to Shane Roller, or he grinds Green out for a
decision win. With Greens under-average ground game, I believe the former is
the more likely scenario = Volkmann via 1st round submission. My
pick for SOTN!
Edwin Figueroa vs. Francisco Rivera
= Rivera via 3rd round TKO.
Chico Camus vs. Dustin Kimura =
Camus via 3nd round TKO.