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Monday, February 13, 2012

UFC on Fuel 1: Ellenberger vs. Sanchez Predictions



Sam’s Picks
Main Card

Jake Ellenberger vs. Diego Sanchez: Ellenberger is a beast. Sanchez is a beast. This makes for an awesome fight, both these guys love to slug it out and go for the KO. Ellenberger wants to get a second shot at Condit so bad that I think that just adds to fire along with this taking place in his hometown of Omaha. Ever since Sanchez has moved back up to welterweight, he has looked pretty solid after his fight with John Hathaway. I believe that Ellenberger is going to have to finish it to win, he doesn’t have the best cardio, so I think it will be close up until Ellenberger finishes it = Ellenberger by 2nd round TKO. My pick for FOTN!

Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman: “Pee Wee” versus the “Skyscraper”. Both of these guys have a lot of potential to be future title challengers but Struve has proven to not have the best chin. Herman has very unorthodox but also very effective standup. Struve has the clear grappling advantage and Herman with the standup, I think I have to go with the standup. It’s going to be exciting but Herman is going to finish this fight = Herman by 1st round TKO. My pick for KOOTN!

Aaron Simpson vs. Ronny Markes:
This fight is very hard to pick. They are very equal but Simpson has the better wrestling credentials but Markes is extremely powerful. I’m going to go with the underdog in this fight because he dominated a guy who is known to be extremely powerful = Markes by split decision.

Philip de Fries vs. Stipe Miocic: Miocic is a huge prospect that has all the credentials to be a future title challenger. Fries, is much of the same. This fight is another hard to call because they both have unlimited potential but I think that Miocic will be able to tap into his earlier, but look out for these guys to become big names in the next two years = Miocic by split decision.

T.J. Dillashaw vs. Walel Watson: Both of these guys have good standup but also very different. TJ is a boxer who favors the uppercut while Watson is a muay thai specialist that favors the clinch and leg kicks. For bantamweight, Watson is oddly large with a huge reach advantage over most of the 135ers. I think that he will be able to use his reach and leg kicks to cruise towards a unanimous decision victory = Watson by unanimous decision.

Ivan Menjivar vs. John Albert:
This is an interesting fight. A hardened veteran versus a pretty huge prospect. I think that Menjivar is just a little too fast and seasoned to lose to the much larger Albert = Menjivar by 3rd round submission. My pick for SOTN! 

Prelims
Jonathan Brookins vs. Vagner Rocha = Brookins by split decision.
Buddy Roberts vs. Sean Loeffler = Loeffler by unanimous decision.
Anton Kuivanen vs. Justin Salas = Kuivanen by split decision.
Bernardo Magalhaes vs. Tim Means = Magalhaes by 2nd round submission.


Dave’s Picks
Main Card
Jake Ellenberger vs. Diego Sanzhez: This will be such a great fight. Both of these guys are face paced monsters. However, I think Jake is the perfect person to handle Diego. In fact I think Jake will take this rather easily. Jake will be much stronger and have more punching power plus I think he will have the wrestling advantage. I see Jake slamming Diego either against the cage on the mat and punching and grinding out an easy win. = Jake by unanimous decision. My Pick for Fight of the Night!

Dave Herman vs. Stefan Struve: Sam and the betting line are picking Herman but I am not. I actually talked to Struve myself about this fight. He said that during his UFC career he hasn’t always fought super smart but this time he will. Just like he did against Barry. He got it to the mat and finished it. I see a similar result. I see Struve getting it to the ground somehow and submitting Herman. Either way this fight will most likely not  go the distance. = Struve by submission in round 2. My Pick for Submission of the Night!

Ronny Markes vs. Aaron Simpson: I’m excited for this fight. I think this will be Ronny’s coming out party. I see Aaron Simpson getting out muscled and punished. I like Simpson but this fight will prove he is a gate keeper and Ronny has a huge future. = Ronny by unanimous decision.

Philip de Fries vs. Stipe Miocic: I think both these guys have great futures but Miocic will take this one in devastating fashion. I see Fries trying to go for a sloppy takedown and getting his head kicked off. Fries only chance is to get this to the ground ASAP or he will get KOed. = Stipe Miocic by TKO in round 1. My Pick for KO of the Night!

Prelims
T.J. Dillashaw vs. Walel Watson: Dillashaw by split decision.
Jonathan Brookins vs. Vagner Rocha: Brookins by unanimous decision.
John Albert vs. Ivan Menjivar: Ivan by submission in round 2.
Bernardo Magalhaes vs. Tim Means: Bernardo by split decision.
Sean Loeffler vs. Buddy Roberts: Roberts by split decision.
Anton Kuivanen vs. Justin Salas: Anton by split decision.

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