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Showing posts with label Guillard. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Guillard. Show all posts

Monday, July 9, 2012

UFC 148 Prelim Recap

Melvin Guillard pounds on Fabricio Camoes (Donald Miralle/Zuffa, LLC)


Interesting night of fights with a thrilling finale! The night started out with 6 straight close decision wins. Super weird. All of them were close and nothing “big” ever happened. It was like watching the same fight 6 times in a row. But anyway let’s get to it!

Rafaello Oliveira vs. Yoislandy Izquierdo: Both of these guys are not quite UFC level athletes. I think that Izquierdo will be cut after going 0-2 in the UFC. Oliveira has had two stints now in the UFC and both of them being unsuccessful. He originally went 1-2 in 2009-2010. And is now again 1-2 from 2011-2012. I don’t think there is much for him in the UFC. I think he should go to Bellator or Strikeforce.

Shane Roller vs. John Alessio: Interesting fight. Roller won by decision with his grappling being the difference maker. Alessio is a decent veteran fighter who just has bad luck. He just keeps getting out-grappled. But the fight was not super exciting and I expected more out of them.

Possible matchups: Shane Roller has been sort of a disappointment in the UFC. He looked great in the WEC and he is a talented wrestler but in the UFC he has been subpar. I think he needs to keep fighting guys on the lower level at 155; possibly against Tony Ferguson. I think Alessio needs to really figure out how to win at 155 against UFC level competition. He needs to hone his strengths and defenses. The lightweight division is by far the most stacked and to stay in it at all you need to be winning. So, if he is not cut I would like to see him fight another guy on the brink of leaving: Spencer Fisher.

Constantinos Philippou vs. Riki Fukuda: Another close fight that went to decision, this time in favor of Philippou. It ended with Fukuda giving Philippou one of the worst eye pokes I have ever seen and then kicking him in the groin. That all sent Philippou into a rage and the end of the fight was Philippou swinging for the fences out of anger.

Possible matchups: Fukuda is now 1-2 with 3 boring decision fights. Dana hates boring more than anything so this could be getting close for Fukuda when it comes to getting the chop. If he sticks around I could see him fighting Nick Catone next. Philippou is now 4-1 in the UFC but has won his last 4. Philipppou has fought roughly every 4 months since early 2011. He could use a break but I would like to see him go up against either Patrick Cote or maybe C.B. Dollaway. Let him get in some wins against guys who will push him but he still has a good chance to beat.

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Gleison Tibau: Another close one but Khabib showed that he has the skills to do some big things at lightweight in the UFC. Tibau is incredibly underrated and the biggest lightweight in the world but Khabib took the close decision.
  
Possible matchups: Tibau has been hovering around the top 15 for a very long time. He is a very good fighter and should keep fighting guys at the higher level. Maybe Tibau could face up and comer Paul Sass. Khabib is a fighter who is 23 years old and 18-0. His future is very bright. I would like to see him fight either Mac Danzig or Evan Dunham.

Melvin Guillard vs. Fabricio Camoes: Guillard took a close decision here by keeping it on the feet and out striking Camoes. Guillard needs this win bad because he had lost two devastating losses in a row.

Possible matchups: Camoes is a decent fighter and I would like to see him fight Jacob Volkmann. Guillard is an excellent fighter who needs to keep fighting other great fighters. I would like to see him face Rafael dos Anjos.

Read Main Card Recap here

Thursday, June 28, 2012

UFC 148 Prelim Preview: Guillard vs. Camoes


Melvin Guillard

Our first prelim preview is going to be for the co-main prelim on FX, Melvin Guillard vs. Fabricio Camoes.

In the classic “striker vs. grappler” matchup, Melvin Guillard is looking to put his last two losses by RNC behind him as Camoes is looking for a step up in competition. Although Camoes boasts an unimpressive record in the UFC of 1-1-1, he is a highly underrated fighter with one of the best ground games at 155. That ground game is going to be a big problem for Guillard as he will have a clear disadvantage on the ground as 9 of his 10 losses are by submission.

Guillard was on the best win streak of his career when he ran into Joe Lauzon in one of the biggest upsets of all time, at UFC 136. Guillard came out as an intense aggressor, only to be caught by a jab coming in and being submitted at 47 seconds of the first round. Following that devastating loss, he was matched up with Jim Miller on the first main event on FX. The fight was going Guillards way until his back was taken and the fight was ultimately finished by RNC at 3:04 of the first round.

This is what makes the fight so interesting. Guillard’s losses are mainly by submission and Camoes has an extremely good ground game with half of his wins coming by submission.

Let’s take a look at Camoes’ recent fights. He is riding a three-fight win streak with wins over TUF season 8 winner Efrain Escudero (unanimous), UFC vet Steve Lopez (TKO in 23 seconds), and BJJ specialist Tommy Hayden (RNC). Before that, he went 0-1-1 with a draw against Japanese legend, Caol Uno and a decision loss to Kurt Pellegrino in the UFC. Following his hard fought decision loss to Pellegrino, he was surprisingly released by the UFC, but went on to do what I mentioned above.

This fight could truly go either way, as Guillard’s ground game has looked weak but with incredible standup and Camoes with one of the best ground games at 155.

Tune in for our predictions in the following week!

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

UFC on FX 1: Guillard vs. Miller Predictions



Dave’s Picks
(It's my Birthday, and I'm having a little party with family and friends. So, I hope this card is a fun one!)

Main Card
Melvin Guillard vs. Jim Miller: Great fight. Both guys are coming off losses but are still in the title hunt. Miller lost to Ben Henderson who is now fighting for the title and Melvin was on a tear until he got caught by Joe Lauzon. Anything can happen in this fight but I think this fight hinges on Miller’s ground game. I think Miller needs to do what Lauzon did. Get it to the ground somehow and submit him quick. Standing with Melvin is a bad idea, he can knockout anybody at 155. If Melvin wants to win he has to keep it standing and keep his hands up. This fight is super hard to call but I’m going with Jimmy Read Beard = Miller by submission in round 3. My Pick for Fight of the Night!

Duane "Bang" Ludwig vs. Josh Neer: This fight is also pretty tough to call because these guys are both journeymen and I’m not totally sure where they are currently in their careers when it comes to their mental and physical health. Neer has been on a little win streak lately and has beaten way tougher competition than Ludwig. Ludwig will most likely have the advantage standing but Neer will destroy him on the ground. = Neer by submission in round 2. My Pick for Submission of the Night!

Mike Easton vs. Jared Papazian: Easton is a really good talent with a lot of potential. He was beaten Chase Beebe and Jon Dodson. Papazian is a guy who could go either way. Papazian has a lot of experience for a 23 year old but his success has been mixed and inconsistent. I expect Easton to win this and go on to do some big things in the UFC bantamweight division. = Easton by TKO in round 1.

Pat Barry vs. Christian Morecraft: Morecraft has a good chance at winning this. I’m actually super tempted to pick him but I can’t. Morecraft has been KOed by guys who do not possess the striking abilities that Barry offers. Morecraft’s chin is my main concern in this fight. I don’t think he can withstand 15 minutes in the cage with Barry but don’t be surprised if Morecraft takes it to the ground and submits Barry quick. = Barry by KO in round 1. My Pick for KO of the Night!

Prelims
Jorge Rivera vs. Eric Schafer: Rivera by unanimous decision.
Habib Nurmagomedov vs. Kamal Shalorus: Shalorus by unanimous decision.
Charlie Brenneman vs. Daniel Roberts: Brenneman by split decision.
Fabricio Camoes vs. Tom Hayden: Camoes by submission in round 1.
Daniel Pineda vs. Pat Schilling: Pineda by submission in round 2.
Nick Denis vs. Joseph Sandoval: Denis by split decision.

Sam’s Picks
Main Card
Jim Miller vs. Melvin Guillard: This is an awesome fight to headline, a fight that will send these guys back into title talk, at least on Miller’s part. Miller has a really good looking record of 20-3 with those three losses only coming from Ben Henderson, Gray Maynard, and Frankie Edgar. He has beaten some very high level competition with his powerful standup, dominant wrestling, and impressive jiu-jitsu. Miller’s strengths are where Guillard’s weakness are. Although Guillard’s standup is really good, Miller will utilize his dominant ground game to come out on top with the submission win = Miller by 2nd round guillotine choke. My pick for SOTN!

Duane Ludwig vs. Josh Neer: I am really happy to see that Josh Neer is back in the UFC but they didn’t exactly give him a very easy fight in his second fight back. Ludwig has proven to be a very seasoned veteran with overwhelming Muay Thai while Neer doesn’t exactly have very good standup but his ground game is good. Ludwig is going to pick him apart on the feet and take away the dominant decision victory = Ludwig by unanimous decision. My pick for FOTN!

Mike Easton vs. Jared Papazian:
Jared Papazian hasn’t defeated anybody with a big name, no one impressive but Mike Easton on the other hand has defeated a lot of very impressive people. Easton has defeated the likes of Chase Beebe (split), Josh Ferguson (guillotine), and even John Dodson (split)! Along with Papazian taking this fight on short notice, Easton has the skills to run through Papazian. This is all Easton = Easton by 2nd round TKO.

Pat Barry vs. Christian Morecraft:
Once again, a striker versus grappler match. Morecraft has shown a good ground game with his dominant first round over Struve but has shown a terrible chin for a heavyweight with his fights with Matt Mitrione and Stefan Struve. Although Pat Barry has an absolutely terrible ground game, he still has the punching power to KO anybody, making this his fight stopped due to strikes = Barry by 1st round KO. My pick for KOOTN!


Prelims
Jorge Rivera vs. Eric Schafer = Rivera by 2nd round TKO.
Habib Nurmagomedov vs. Kamal Shalorus = Shalorus by split decision.
Charlie Brenneman vs. Daniel Roberts = Brenneman by unanimous decision.
Fabricio Camoes vs. Tommy Hayden = Camoes by 1st round RNC.
Daniel Pineda vs. Pat Schilling = Pineda by unanimous decision.
Nick Denis vs. Joseph Sandoval = Denis by 2nd round TKO.

Enjoy the Fights!!!!!!