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Saturday, November 19, 2011

UFC 139 Predictions



Dave’s Picks

Main Card
Dan Henderson vs. Shogun Rua: This is a very tough fight to call for me. Henderson is old and fading and his chin seems to be a little bit as well. However, I am never confident Shogun can ever come out and look like the destroyer he can be. In my opinion Henderson should have the better overall cardio and if he can drag this out by using his superior wrestling than he can grind Shogun down and then finish him late. However, Henderson never tries to wrestle and only looks for his right hand bomb to land. What Shogun needs to do is use his kicks and pick his shots wisely. He needs to circle to his own right like his life depends on it and it might! :0)  But Shogun just needs to use some precise strikes, take out Hendo’s legs and eventually land a good knee in the clinch to finish him off. But which possibility will become a reality? = Dan Henderson by TKO in round 2.

Cung Le vs. Wanderlei Silva: I would love this fight if it were in a movie or video game because then no one would get hurt. I am very worried for Silva here. His chin has looked extremely weak for about 5 years. Cung Le has extremely accurate striking and thunderous kicks. If he lands a solid kick to Silva’s head it could mean retirement = Cung Le by KO in round 1. My Pick for KO of the Night!

Brian Bowles vs. Urijah Faber: This will be an important fight for the bantamweight division and should be exciting. Bowles is a little slower but has the more dangerous striking. Faber is bigger, stronger, faster and has the better grappling. This fight is mainly based on whether Faber can get those takedowns and keep it on the ground or if Bowles can land a bomb and end it early = Faber by unanimous decision.

Martin Kampmann vs. Rick Story: This will be a rough grinding fight. Story was on a major roll and beat a few big names; mean while, Kampmann has been hovering around title contention for years. Kampmann will have the better striking and submissions but Story will have the speed, strength and wrestling advantage. Story will have to corner Kampmann and rough him up on the cage and then get the takedown. Kampmann will want to use his reach and be able to make it a boxing match. = Story by split decision.

Stephan Bonnar vs. Kyle Kingsbury: Another tough fight to pick (most of the card is pretty tough). This should be a barnburner. Both guys go to war and have great chins. These guys are both decently well-rounded but Bonnar will have the BJJ advantage. However, Kingsbuy is a high-caliber athlete who is good at adjusting during fights. This one is really tough = Kingsbury by unanimous decision. My Pick for Fight of the Night!

Prelims
Ryan Bader v. Jason Brilz: Bader by unanimous decision.
Michael McDonald vs. Alex Soto: McDonald by unanimous decision.
Tom Lawlor vs. Chris Weidman: Weidman by unanimous decision.
Nick Pace vs. Miguel Torres: Torres by submission in round 2. My Pick for Submission of the Night!
Rafael dos Anjos vs. Gleison Tibau: Tibau by split decision.
Seth Baczynski vs. Matt Brown: Seth by unanimous decision.
Shamar Bailey vs. Danny Castillo: Castillo by TKO in round 3.


Sam’s Picks

Main Card
Mauricio “Shogun” Rua vs. Dan Henderson: A perfect legend versus legend fight that seems to should’ve happen way back in the Pride days. Shogun is very hungry for a rematch against Jon Jones, which was very apparent after his violent KO of Forrest Griffin. I am very happy to see Henderson back in the UFC, where he belongs. This fight is definitely not going to a judges decision, I mean, it’s five rounds with two KO artists constantly going for the KO. I don’t see Henderson getting KO… ever. He has an abnormally good chin and he shows every one of his fights. Shogun also has a good chin but he can still be TKO’d. Henderson has the better power and chin and that is very important for this fight = Henderson by 3rd round TKO. My pick for KOOTN

Wanderlai Silva vs. Cung Le:
Wanderlai Silva needs to retire, badly. I am really nervous for this fight, I don’t like seeing Wanderlai get KO’d and it is inevitable in this fight. I am very happy to see Cung Le in the UFC now but he got a fight I don’t like = Le by 2nd round KO.

Urijah Faber vs. Brian Bowles: An awesome number one contender fight for the bantamweight division. This is a fight that I really wanted to see when I heard that Faber was going to drop down to 135. Bowles is a bantamweight beast and wants a rematch with Cruz more than anything. Although I don’t think either of them will have a chance of beating Cruz, this is a really good fight = Faber by unanimous decision.

Martin Kampann vs. Rick Story: This is an interesting fight that I personally think is the hardest one to pick the winner of. Story is coming off an embarrassing loss from Charlie Brennemen. Kampann on the other hand has not fought in a very long time so we will see how the ring rust will have an effect on Martin, I have a feeling that it won’t be so good = Story by unanimous decision.

Stephan Bonnar vs. Kyle Kingsbury: This is going to be a super good fight. I guarantee it. Both these guys like to slug it out and both of them have been looking good lately so its also going to be a close fight. Kingsbury got a bright future and I think that Bonnar’s time as a potential title contender has passed = Kingsbury by split decision. My pick for FOTN!

Prelims
Ryan Bader vs. Jason Brilz = Bader by split decision
Michael McDonald vs. Alex Soto = McDonald by 2nd round TKO
Tom Lawlor vs. Chris Weidman = Weidman by unanimous decision
Nick Pace vs. Miguel Torres = Torres by 2nd round submission (Choke). My pick for SOTN!
Rafael dos Anjos vs. Gleison Tibau = Tibau by unanimous decision
Seth Baczynski vs. Matt Brown = Brown by 2nd round TKO
Shamar Bailey vs. Danny Castillo = Bailey by split decision

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