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Monday, January 14, 2013

UFC on FX 7: Belfort vs. Bisping Predictions




Sam’s Picks

Main Card
Michael Bisping vs. Vitor Belfort: This is easily the hardest fight to predict on the whole event. Vitor, who is coming off of a valiant effort in trying to claim the light heavyweight belt from Jon Jones back in September, is looking to put himself back into title contention with a win over Michael Bisping. A win for the Englishmen on the other hand will most likely earn him a title shot at Anderson Silva, a goal in which he has been on the brink of for quite some time. He’s 5-1 in his last 6 with the loss coming via a very controversial decision loss to Chael Sonnen. The reason this fight is so hard to predict is Belfort’s power and Bisping’s chin. Michael is a very tough guy, don’t get me wrong, but his loss to Dan Henderson and his near loss to Brian Stann makes his chin unpredictable. Vitor will most likely win the first round, due to his explosive beginnings to fights but Bisping will ride out a unanimous decision win after that. But Belfort’s power will keep me on edge = Bisping via unanimous decision (48-47x3). My 1st pick for FOTN!

Daniel Sarafian vs. CB Dollaway: Why is this fight the co-main event? Because Sarafian is a future star and the UFC wants to show everyone. Dollaway has name value and Sarafian is a terrible matchup for him. If you watched the first season of The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil, then you know that Daniel is extremely explosive. Dollaway’s chin is pretty terrible, honestly and Sarafian will exploit it = Sarafian via 3rd round KO. My pick for KOOTN!

Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Ben Rothwell: To be quite honest, the fact that a lot of people are actually looking at Ben Rothwell as a favorite in this fight is a shock. Going into this fight, I truly feel that Gonzaga is going to demolish Rothwell. He’s simply better then Ben essentially everywhere the fight goes. Gonzaga’s homecoming fight back in the UFC showed he’s starting to fight smart again, which is taking it to the ground and working for the submission from the get go. Rothwell isn’t a very good fighter in the fact that he’s the heavyweight Tim Boetsch; just some guy who happens to be overall mediocre in all facets. Gonzaga will destroy him = Gonzaga via 2nd round submission (kimura). My pick for SOTN!

Thiago Tavares vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov: Heading into this main card, this is the most intriguing fight for me. How will Nurmagomedov fair against a guy like Tavares, who has been a fighter right on the brink of contender-ship but has never made it there. With both fighters coming off of close decision wins (especially Nurmagomedov), a win should give either fighter a top-10 or top-15 opponent. Tavares’ greatest adversary is constant aggression and a stronger opponent and that’s the way that Nurmagomedov fights = Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision.

Prelims
Godofredo Castro vs. Milton Vieira = Vieira via split decision.
Andrew Craig vs. Ronny Markes = Markes via 3rd round TKO.
Nik Lentz vs. Diego Nunes = Lentz via unanimous decision. My 2nd pick for FOTN!
Edson Barboza vs. Lucas Martins = Barboza via unanimous decision.
Yuri Alcantara vs. Pedro Nobre = Alcantara via 1st round KO.
Ildemar Alcantara vs. Wagner Prado = Prado via unanimous decision. My 3rd pick for FOTN!
Francisco Trinaldo vs. CJ Keith = Trinaldo via 1st round TKO.

Dave’s Picks

Main Card
Michael Bisping vs. Vitor Belfort: I’m pumped for this fight. Bisping should take this but his chin cannot handle Belfort’s power. I see Bisping peppering Belfort for 2 rounds and then Belfort landing a power shot that forces Bisping to play the wrestling game and winning the fight there because his wrestling is superior to Belfort’s. The only chance Belfort has is to land a big bomb and hope for the KO. I never vote for the guy that only has one way to win even though I would love to see Belfort win. = Bisping by unanimous decision. My Pick for Fight of the Night!

Daniel Sarafian vs. CB Dollaway: This fight is pretty much a joke in my opinion. Sarafian looked good on TUF but how much does that really count for? He hasn’t fought a pro fight since July 2011. He has never fought anyone even close to Dollaway’s level. Dollaway has a ton of UFC experience and this is Sarafian’s UFC debut. Dollaway is coming off of a great victory of Jason Miller. I just think it’s safer to go with the proven wrestler. = Dollaway by unanimous decision.

Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Ben Rothwell: If Gonzaga keeps fighting smart he could beat almost anyone at heavyweight but the fact he hasn’t fought in a year scares me a bit. Rothwell is a big strong guy and so when he punches he has power. That is all Rothwell brings to the table. Gonzaga has better striking technique and more power but where Gonzaga easily takes it is the ground game. If Gonzaga takes this fight to the ground he could end it within minutes. I think Gonzaga will fight like he has in his last two fights and take it to the ground and find the submission. = Gonzaga by submission in round 1. My Pick for Submission of the Night!

Thiago Tavares vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov: Khabib is the real deal. He has been a human steamroller since his career started. His UFC career has been great so far as well. Tavares has been doing decent lately but against competition at a much lower level. I see Khabib coming in and putting pressure on Tavares and just being too much in every area. But Khabib should be careful on the ground. = Khabib by unanimous decision.

Prelims
Godofredo Castro vs. Milton Vieira = Vieira by split decision.
Andrew Craig vs. Ronny Markes = Markes by 2nd round KO. My Pick for KO of the Night!
Nik Lentz vs. Diego Nunes = Nunes by split decision.
Edson Barboza vs. Lucas Martins = Barboza by unanimous decision.
Yuri Alcantara vs. Pedro Nobre = Alcantara by 2nd round TKO.
Ildemar Alcantara vs. Wagner Prado = Prado by split decision.
Francisco Trinaldo vs. CJ Keith = Trinaldo by 2nd round TKO.

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