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Thursday, June 28, 2012

UFC 148 Prelim Preview: Guillard vs. Camoes


Melvin Guillard

Our first prelim preview is going to be for the co-main prelim on FX, Melvin Guillard vs. Fabricio Camoes.

In the classic “striker vs. grappler” matchup, Melvin Guillard is looking to put his last two losses by RNC behind him as Camoes is looking for a step up in competition. Although Camoes boasts an unimpressive record in the UFC of 1-1-1, he is a highly underrated fighter with one of the best ground games at 155. That ground game is going to be a big problem for Guillard as he will have a clear disadvantage on the ground as 9 of his 10 losses are by submission.

Guillard was on the best win streak of his career when he ran into Joe Lauzon in one of the biggest upsets of all time, at UFC 136. Guillard came out as an intense aggressor, only to be caught by a jab coming in and being submitted at 47 seconds of the first round. Following that devastating loss, he was matched up with Jim Miller on the first main event on FX. The fight was going Guillards way until his back was taken and the fight was ultimately finished by RNC at 3:04 of the first round.

This is what makes the fight so interesting. Guillard’s losses are mainly by submission and Camoes has an extremely good ground game with half of his wins coming by submission.

Let’s take a look at Camoes’ recent fights. He is riding a three-fight win streak with wins over TUF season 8 winner Efrain Escudero (unanimous), UFC vet Steve Lopez (TKO in 23 seconds), and BJJ specialist Tommy Hayden (RNC). Before that, he went 0-1-1 with a draw against Japanese legend, Caol Uno and a decision loss to Kurt Pellegrino in the UFC. Following his hard fought decision loss to Pellegrino, he was surprisingly released by the UFC, but went on to do what I mentioned above.

This fight could truly go either way, as Guillard’s ground game has looked weak but with incredible standup and Camoes with one of the best ground games at 155.

Tune in for our predictions in the following week!

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